Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?
Why it moved: −15 points at 05:24 UTC, after CoinDesk: Joint venture of OKX and NYSE parent ICE files for 24/7 tokenized U.S. stock trading — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 42% |
| 5 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 42% |
| 5 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 42% |
| 4 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 57% |
Your call. How does this end?
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Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Kraken allows U.S. customers to buy at least one tokenized stock before any other listed platform does. This availability must occur between September 17, 2026, and December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake public announcements or invite-only programs for actual availability, but only confirmed purchases by U.S. customers count.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 42%
- No 59%
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