Nuggets vs. Rockets
The market favoured Rockets at 75% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$1.6M
Total volume$10
Liquidity$4k
Resolved10 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 10 Nov, 04:15 UTC | 0% |
| 10 Nov, 01:00 UTC | 36% |
| 10 Nov, 00:46 UTC | 37% |
| 10 Nov, 00:26 UTC | 38% |
| 9 Nov, 22:17 UTC | 38% |
| 9 Nov, 19:36 UTC | 39% |
| 9 Nov, 19:21 UTC | 38% |
| 9 Nov, 16:12 UTC | 26% |
| 9 Nov, 15:37 UTC | 26% |
| 9 Nov, 11:42 UTC | 27% |
| 9 Nov, 02:00 UTC | 26% |
| 9 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 27% |
| 9 Nov, 00:36 UTC | 26% |
| 9 Nov, 00:09 UTC | 25% |
| 8 Nov, 23:31 UTC | 26% |
| 8 Nov, 22:59 UTC | 25% |
| 7 Nov, 22:58 UTC | 37% |
What counts
The Nuggets outcome resolves if they win the game; the Rockets outcome resolves if they win. The result counts only if the game starts by Wednesday, November 11, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET or is officially completed before then. Readers often miss that a canceled or delayed game past this deadline triggers a 50-50 split instead of a winner.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Nuggets 0%
- Rockets 100%
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