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Will Greece win on 2026-10-01?

Implied probability 28%+4
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$4k
Liquidity$28k
Resolves1 Oct 2026

Why it moved: +4 points at 22:24 UTC, after The Guardian Sport: Nations League: Greece stun Klopp’s Germany, Netherlands sink Serbia but Gakpo hurt — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Will Greece win on 2026-10-01?
0%50%100%28%26 Sept, 22:24 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now28%
27 Sept, 22:24 UTC28%
26 Sept, 22:24 UTC25%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Greece wins the match scheduled for October 1, 2026, based solely on the result within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The outcome depends on the official final score recognized by the governing body, with secondary data sources used only if official statistics are not published within two hours.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 28%
  • No 72%

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