Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?
The market favoured No at 57% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$2.8M
Total volume$2.9M
Liquidity$1.0M
Resolved11 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 11 Oct, 18:17 UTC | 100% |
| 11 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 46% |
| 11 Oct, 10:27 UTC | 44% |
| 9 Oct, 23:05 UTC | 43% |
| 9 Oct, 14:09 UTC | 42% |
| 9 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 41% |
| 8 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 39% |
What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Manchester City FC wins the match scheduled for October 11, 2026, and "No" otherwise. The result depends solely on the score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Readers often mistakenly believe that a draw or a win in extra time counts as a victory for this specific outcome.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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