Will Philadelphia Phillies advance to the NLDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?
Why it moved: +22 points at 21:55 UTC, after www.espn.com: Bohm homer in 10th prolongs Phils' season after Harper gaffe, HR — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 50% |
| 30 Sept, 22:44 UTC | 50% |
| 30 Sept, 22:29 UTC | 50% |
| 30 Sept, 21:55 UTC | 50% |
| 29 Sept, 21:55 UTC | 28% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if the Philadelphia Phillies reach the National League Division Series in the 2026 playoffs. The outcome is No if they are mathematically eliminated from contention or if the playoffs end without a declared NLDS matchup by November 1, 2026. Readers often mistake the linked Wild Card game result as sufficient proof, but only advancement to the next round counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 50%
- No 50%
Trade this market on Polymarket →