Will Jensen Huang's resignation or removal not be announced and Nvidia's market cap be below $4T at the end of 2026?
Why it moved: −8 points at 14:18 UTC, after Quartz: Jensen Huang steps down as Nvidia CEO after affairs and spy scandal — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 12 Nov, 14:38 UTC | 0% |
| 12 Nov, 14:18 UTC | 1% |
| 12 Nov, 13:50 UTC | 10% |
| 12 Nov, 13:16 UTC | 10% |
| 12 Nov, 12:04 UTC | 12% |
| 12 Nov, 11:56 UTC | 11% |
| 12 Nov, 11:25 UTC | 12% |
| 12 Nov, 10:55 UTC | 13% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Jensen Huang’s resignation or removal is officially announced by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET and Nvidia’s market cap closes below $4 trillion on the final trading day of that year. It resolves to No if either condition fails, meaning no such announcement occurs or the market cap stays at or above $4 trillion.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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