Spread: Texas (-4.5)
The market favoured Texas at 52% a day out, but Tennessee won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$52k
Total volume$70k
Liquidity$111k
Resolved26 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 20:44 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 08:02 UTC | 53% |
| 26 Sept, 06:16 UTC | 52% |
| 26 Sept, 03:08 UTC | 52% |
| 26 Sept, 02:09 UTC | 52% |
| 26 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 53% |
| 25 Sept, 14:16 UTC | 52% |
| 25 Sept, 02:53 UTC | 52% |
| 24 Sept, 20:10 UTC | 51% |
| 24 Sept, 16:40 UTC | 50% |
| 23 Sept, 16:40 UTC | 50% |
What counts
Texas wins if it beats Tennessee by five points or more. Tennessee wins if Texas loses or wins by fewer than five points. The result depends on the final score of the completed game, not any postponements or cancellations.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Texas 0%
- Tennessee 100%
View this market on Polymarket →