Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on October 5?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$10k
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$37k
Resolves5 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 5 Oct, 11:50 UTC | 0% |
| 5 Oct, 10:54 UTC | 0% |
| 5 Oct, 10:21 UTC | 0% |
| 5 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 0% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome depends on whether the Ethereum price on Binance exceeds $3,100 at exactly noon ET on October 5. Readers often mistake the deadline for a different time zone or assume any price movement during the day counts instead of the specific closing candle.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
Trade this market on Polymarket →