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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14?

Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$40k
Total volume$151k
Liquidity$62k
Resolves15 Nov 2026
How the odds moved · Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14?
0%50%100%1%9 Nov, 08:56 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now1%
12 Nov, 15:06 UTC1%
12 Nov, 14:38 UTC1%
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9 Nov, 09:09 UTC8%
9 Nov, 08:56 UTC8%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Pete Hegseth stops serving as Secretary of Defense at any point before November 14 at 11:59 PM ET, including if he announces his resignation or removal by that deadline. It resolves to No if he remains in the role for the entire period up to that time.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 1%
  • No 99%

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