Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

What counts

For the outcome to be Yes, Saudi Aramco must have the highest market capitalization among all global companies at the close of trading on December 31, 2026. For the outcome to be No, any other company must hold that top spot at that specific time. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline, but the actual cutoff is strictly the market close on December 31, 2026.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.