Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
Why it moved: −6 points at 23:29 UTC, after SI Feed: MLB Power Rankings: Dodgers Slide With Upset Possible, White Sox Surge — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 6 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Oct, 02:10 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Oct, 01:57 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Oct, 00:16 UTC | 8% |
| 5 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 7% |
| 5 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 12% |
| 5 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 18% |
| 5 Oct, 22:28 UTC | 18% |
| 5 Oct, 21:54 UTC | 18% |
| 5 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Oct, 20:45 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Oct, 14:31 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Oct, 12:10 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 15% |
| 5 Oct, 06:49 UTC | 15% |
| 5 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 15% |
| 5 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 15% |
| 5 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 15% |
| 5 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 15% |
| 5 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 15% |
| 5 Oct, 03:45 UTC | 15% |
| 5 Oct, 03:07 UTC | 15% |
| 5 Oct, 02:40 UTC | 15% |
| 5 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 15% |
| 5 Oct, 01:54 UTC | 15% |
| 5 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 14% |
| 5 Oct, 00:18 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 22:17 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 21:24 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 20:19 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 17:40 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 12:19 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 07:51 UTC | 15% |
| 4 Oct, 07:12 UTC | 15% |
| 4 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 15% |
| 4 Oct, 05:37 UTC | 15% |
| 4 Oct, 05:24 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Oct, 04:00 UTC | 15% |
| 4 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 15% |
| 4 Oct, 01:46 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Oct, 01:20 UTC | 13% |
| 4 Oct, 00:15 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 21:10 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 20:50 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Oct, 19:22 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Oct, 18:43 UTC | 18% |
| 3 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 23% |
| 3 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 24% |
| 3 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 25% |
| 3 Oct, 14:05 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Oct, 19:43 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Oct, 08:57 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Oct, 06:17 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Oct, 05:05 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Oct, 23:12 UTC | 22% |
| 30 Sept, 23:11 UTC | 21% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series. The No outcome applies if any other team wins or if the Guardians are eliminated before winning the series. Readers often mistake the linked Wild Card or ALDS games for the decisive event, but only the winner of the final ALCS determines the result.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%
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