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Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Implied probability 87%−6
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$45k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Jan 2027

Why it moved: −5 points at 15:04 UTC, after SI Feed: Disgruntled UFC Champion Sean Strickland Considers Leaving UFC to Fight Jake Paul — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
0%50%100%87%7 Oct, 15:04 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now87%
8 Oct, 17:01 UTC88%
8 Oct, 16:22 UTC88%
8 Oct, 15:04 UTC88%
7 Oct, 15:04 UTC94%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The outcome depends on who holds the official UFC Middleweight title at 12:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026. Interim champions do not count toward this market. Readers often mistake the current champion for the one holding the belt at that specific future date.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 87%
  • No 13%

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