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Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron by November 30?

Implied probability 64%−1
24-hour volume$179
Total volume$66k
Liquidity$27k
Resolves1 Dec 2026
How the odds moved · Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron by November 30?
0%50%100%64%5 Nov, 03:58 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now64%
12 Nov, 00:11 UTC64%
11 Nov, 22:31 UTC63%
11 Nov, 21:38 UTC65%
11 Nov, 21:24 UTC62%
11 Nov, 20:29 UTC64%
11 Nov, 19:47 UTC64%
11 Nov, 19:06 UTC66%
11 Nov, 18:38 UTC66%
11 Nov, 18:25 UTC66%
11 Nov, 17:36 UTC66%
11 Nov, 14:20 UTC67%
11 Nov, 13:45 UTC67%
11 Nov, 12:56 UTC66%
11 Nov, 12:05 UTC65%
11 Nov, 11:58 UTC65%
11 Nov, 08:30 UTC68%
11 Nov, 08:10 UTC68%
11 Nov, 07:57 UTC67%
11 Nov, 06:56 UTC65%
11 Nov, 06:16 UTC65%
11 Nov, 05:56 UTC66%
11 Nov, 05:01 UTC67%
11 Nov, 03:36 UTC66%
11 Nov, 03:29 UTC66%
11 Nov, 02:07 UTC66%
11 Nov, 01:53 UTC65%
11 Nov, 01:18 UTC66%
11 Nov, 00:44 UTC66%
11 Nov, 00:10 UTC66%
10 Nov, 23:56 UTC67%
10 Nov, 23:15 UTC67%
10 Nov, 22:55 UTC68%
10 Nov, 22:11 UTC66%
10 Nov, 21:36 UTC68%
10 Nov, 21:08 UTC67%
10 Nov, 20:54 UTC66%
10 Nov, 20:27 UTC68%
10 Nov, 19:54 UTC67%
10 Nov, 19:19 UTC68%
10 Nov, 18:59 UTC67%
10 Nov, 18:10 UTC67%
10 Nov, 17:43 UTC66%
10 Nov, 17:22 UTC66%
10 Nov, 16:25 UTC66%
10 Nov, 15:03 UTC67%
10 Nov, 01:39 UTC72%
10 Nov, 01:26 UTC72%
10 Nov, 00:53 UTC73%
10 Nov, 00:26 UTC73%
9 Nov, 23:46 UTC73%
9 Nov, 23:25 UTC73%
9 Nov, 22:58 UTC72%
9 Nov, 22:17 UTC73%
9 Nov, 21:56 UTC72%
9 Nov, 21:28 UTC73%
9 Nov, 20:54 UTC73%
9 Nov, 20:25 UTC73%
9 Nov, 19:58 UTC73%
9 Nov, 19:21 UTC74%
9 Nov, 18:47 UTC75%
9 Nov, 18:26 UTC73%
9 Nov, 17:57 UTC72%
9 Nov, 11:28 UTC71%
9 Nov, 10:47 UTC71%
9 Nov, 09:36 UTC71%
9 Nov, 09:09 UTC73%
9 Nov, 08:09 UTC71%
9 Nov, 07:56 UTC76%
9 Nov, 07:23 UTC74%
9 Nov, 06:56 UTC74%
9 Nov, 03:21 UTC68%
9 Nov, 02:54 UTC70%
9 Nov, 02:27 UTC69%
6 Nov, 15:13 UTC56%
6 Nov, 14:56 UTC57%
6 Nov, 10:20 UTC57%
6 Nov, 09:58 UTC57%
6 Nov, 05:18 UTC56%
6 Nov, 04:27 UTC56%
6 Nov, 03:58 UTC58%
5 Nov, 03:58 UTC56%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Does the market have this right?

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump and Emmanuel Macron engage in any verbal conversation, including phone or video calls, before November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if no such interaction occurs by that deadline or if the timing cannot be confirmed by credible media reporting within three days of the alleged event.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 64%
  • No 36%

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