Will Nene Royal win AGT Season 21?
The market favoured Yes at 92% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$24k
Total volume$45k
Liquidity$0
Resolved1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 24 Sept, 03:07 UTC | 97% |
| 24 Sept, 02:44 UTC | 94% |
| 24 Sept, 02:25 UTC | 94% |
| 24 Sept, 01:58 UTC | 94% |
| 24 Sept, 01:27 UTC | 94% |
| 24 Sept, 00:55 UTC | 95% |
| 24 Sept, 00:23 UTC | 95% |
| 23 Sept, 23:55 UTC | 95% |
| 23 Sept, 23:27 UTC | 96% |
| 23 Sept, 22:34 UTC | 97% |
| 23 Sept, 22:27 UTC | 95% |
| 23 Sept, 21:50 UTC | 93% |
| 23 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 92% |
| 23 Sept, 20:20 UTC | 93% |
| 23 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 94% |
| 23 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 95% |
| 23 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 95% |
| 22 Sept, 17:58 UTC | 77% |
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Nene Royal is declared the winner of AGT Season 21 based on the final results. The No outcome applies if she loses, is disqualified during the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, or if no winner is ever declared by the deadline. Readers often mistake the resolution source, which relies strictly on official broadcast footage rather than social media announcements or news headlines.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
View this market on Polymarket →