Set 1 Winner: Aryna Sabalenka vs Mirra Andreeva
The market favoured Aryna Sabalenka at 50% a day out, but Mirra Andreeva won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$75k
Total volume$75k
Liquidity$98k
Resolved17 Nov 2026
Why it moved: −66 points at 23:18 UTC, after SkySports: Svitolina produces incredible comeback to edge Muchova — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 12 Nov, 00:25 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Nov, 23:31 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Nov, 23:18 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Nov, 22:59 UTC | 67% |
| 11 Nov, 22:12 UTC | 52% |
| 11 Nov, 20:56 UTC | 52% |
| 11 Nov, 20:29 UTC | 51% |
Outcomes
- Aryna Sabalenka 0%
- Mirra Andreeva 100%
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