Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win 5-6% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?
Why it moved: −16 points at 07:29 UTC, after Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: In Israel election, Palestinian citizens weigh fear against disillusionment — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 33% |
| 22 Oct, 10:09 UTC | 33% |
| 22 Oct, 09:11 UTC | 33% |
| 22 Oct, 08:29 UTC | 32% |
| 22 Oct, 07:36 UTC | 30% |
| 22 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 31% |
| 21 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 47% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Religious Zionist Party–Zehut wins 5% or more but less than 6% of the valid national vote in the October 27, 2026 election. The No outcome applies if the party wins less than 5% or 6% or more of the valid national vote.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 33%
- No 67%
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