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Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Implied probability 96%
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$277k
Liquidity$48k
Resolves4 Oct 2026
How the odds moved · Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
0%50%100%96%11 Sept, 18:39 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now96%
16 Sept, 16:39 UTC96%
16 Sept, 15:26 UTC96%
16 Sept, 13:02 UTC96%
16 Sept, 12:55 UTC96%
16 Sept, 12:09 UTC96%
16 Sept, 11:40 UTC96%
16 Sept, 11:26 UTC96%
16 Sept, 10:54 UTC96%
16 Sept, 10:01 UTC96%
16 Sept, 09:54 UTC96%
16 Sept, 08:55 UTC96%
16 Sept, 04:50 UTC96%
16 Sept, 04:19 UTC96%
16 Sept, 03:58 UTC96%
16 Sept, 03:20 UTC96%
16 Sept, 02:38 UTC96%
16 Sept, 02:22 UTC96%
16 Sept, 01:24 UTC96%
16 Sept, 00:18 UTC96%
15 Sept, 22:15 UTC96%
15 Sept, 21:55 UTC96%
15 Sept, 21:22 UTC96%
15 Sept, 13:44 UTC97%
15 Sept, 13:18 UTC96%
15 Sept, 12:53 UTC96%
15 Sept, 12:29 UTC96%
15 Sept, 11:55 UTC96%
15 Sept, 11:04 UTC96%
15 Sept, 10:56 UTC96%
15 Sept, 10:06 UTC96%
15 Sept, 06:22 UTC96%
15 Sept, 05:58 UTC96%
15 Sept, 04:30 UTC95%
15 Sept, 04:14 UTC96%
15 Sept, 03:17 UTC96%
15 Sept, 02:45 UTC95%
14 Sept, 21:32 UTC96%
14 Sept, 19:10 UTC96%
14 Sept, 18:46 UTC96%
14 Sept, 14:49 UTC96%
14 Sept, 11:36 UTC96%
14 Sept, 08:13 UTC96%
14 Sept, 07:50 UTC96%
14 Sept, 07:25 UTC96%
14 Sept, 01:24 UTC96%
13 Sept, 16:54 UTC97%
13 Sept, 11:37 UTC96%
13 Sept, 00:05 UTC97%
12 Sept, 21:20 UTC96%
12 Sept, 18:39 UTC96%
11 Sept, 18:39 UTC97%

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Outcomes

  • Yes 96%
  • No 4%

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