Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 09:34 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Oct, 07:06 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Oct, 05:55 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Oct, 05:29 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Oct, 04:38 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 13:46 UTC | 7% |
| 30 Sept, 13:45 UTC | 8% |
Your call. How does this end?
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Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if OpenAI announces bankruptcy through official channels or credible reporting by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if no such announcement occurs by that deadline. Readers often mistake the linked story about a safety leader quitting for a bankruptcy filing, but that event does not count toward resolution.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 11%
- No 90%
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