Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?
Why it moved: −5 points at 01:29 UTC, after Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories: Early signs of stock market instability may appear in how traders place orders — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 32% |
| 13 Nov, 01:29 UTC | 32% |
| 12 Nov, 01:23 UTC | 37% |
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What counts
For the outcome to be Yes, Microsoft must hold the position of the second-largest company globally by market capitalization at the close of trading on November 30, 2026. If any other company holds this rank instead, the outcome resolves to No. Readers often mistakenly check the ranking at an arbitrary time during the day or rely on a single news source rather than a consensus of credible reporting.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 32%
- No 68%
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