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Will Anthropic sell between 6% and 7% of its shares in its IPO?

Implied probability 64%+7
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Jan 2028

Why it moved: −7 points at 15:54 UTC, after Bloomberg Markets: Nvidia’s $10 Billion Anthropic IPO Pledge in Focus With CEO Exit — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Will Anthropic sell between 6% and 7% of its shares in its IPO?
0%50%100%64%11 Nov, 15:53 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now64%
12 Nov, 15:54 UTC62%
11 Nov, 15:53 UTC69%

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What counts

The Yes outcome occurs if Anthropic sells between 6% and 7% of its total outstanding shares during the IPO pricing. The No outcome applies if that percentage falls outside this range or if no IPO completes by December 31, 2027. Readers often mistake the final prospectus filed with the SEC as the only source of truth, but credible reporting consensus also counts.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 64%
  • No 36%

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