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Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$13k
Total volume$1.6M
Liquidity$330k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
How the odds moved · Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
0%50%100%2%4 Nov, 22:27 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now2%
11 Nov, 13:52 UTC2%
10 Nov, 17:43 UTC2%
10 Nov, 17:29 UTC2%
8 Nov, 10:59 UTC2%
8 Nov, 10:21 UTC2%
8 Nov, 07:50 UTC2%
8 Nov, 06:47 UTC2%
8 Nov, 06:06 UTC2%
8 Nov, 05:25 UTC2%
6 Nov, 08:13 UTC2%
5 Nov, 23:15 UTC2%
5 Nov, 21:11 UTC2%
5 Nov, 15:41 UTC2%
5 Nov, 08:37 UTC2%
5 Nov, 07:24 UTC2%
5 Nov, 06:33 UTC2%
5 Nov, 00:16 UTC2%
4 Nov, 22:35 UTC2%
4 Nov, 22:27 UTC2%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Does the market have this right?

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if the official CME settlement price for the front-month Gold (GC) futures contract reaches $6,000 or higher on any trading day by the final trading day of December 2026. It resolves to No if that specific settlement price never hits the target within the deadline.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 2%
  • No 98%

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