Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
The market favoured No at 94% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 16 Oct, 06:29 UTC | 0% |
| 16 Oct, 03:15 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 4% |
| 16 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 6% |
| 16 Oct, 01:56 UTC | 11% |
| 16 Oct, 01:22 UTC | 12% |
| 16 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 11% |
| 16 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 10% |
| 15 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Oct, 19:49 UTC | 8% |
| 15 Oct, 03:48 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 7% |
| 15 Oct, 02:43 UTC | 9% |
| 15 Oct, 02:29 UTC | 17% |
| 15 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 25% |
| 15 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 19% |
| 15 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 20% |
| 15 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 21% |
| 14 Oct, 23:41 UTC | 23% |
| 14 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 24% |
| 14 Oct, 19:36 UTC | 23% |
| 13 Oct, 12:22 UTC | 22% |
| 13 Oct, 10:08 UTC | 23% |
| 13 Oct, 07:21 UTC | 22% |
| 13 Oct, 06:42 UTC | 22% |
| 13 Oct, 06:21 UTC | 22% |
| 13 Oct, 05:55 UTC | 22% |
| 13 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 22% |
| 13 Oct, 04:41 UTC | 22% |
| 13 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 22% |
| 13 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 23% |
| 13 Oct, 02:47 UTC | 22% |
| 13 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 22% |
| 13 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 21% |
| 13 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 24% |
| 12 Oct, 23:54 UTC | 25% |
| 12 Oct, 23:21 UTC | 31% |
| 12 Oct, 22:54 UTC | 32% |
| 12 Oct, 22:27 UTC | 38% |
| 12 Oct, 21:54 UTC | 38% |
| 12 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 37% |
| 12 Oct, 20:35 UTC | 36% |
| 12 Oct, 08:08 UTC | 35% |
| 12 Oct, 04:54 UTC | 34% |
| 12 Oct, 03:37 UTC | 33% |
| 12 Oct, 03:25 UTC | 34% |
| 12 Oct, 02:59 UTC | 35% |
| 12 Oct, 02:22 UTC | 40% |
| 12 Oct, 01:56 UTC | 47% |
| 12 Oct, 01:13 UTC | 49% |
| 12 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 46% |
| 11 Oct, 23:11 UTC | 43% |
| 11 Oct, 22:15 UTC | 44% |
| 11 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 43% |
| 11 Oct, 12:22 UTC | 43% |
| 11 Oct, 09:46 UTC | 43% |
| 11 Oct, 08:50 UTC | 43% |
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series. The No outcome applies if any other team wins or if the Dodgers are eliminated from contention before the series concludes. Readers often mistake the linked news about Shohei Ohtani’s return as a factor in resolution, but only the final World Series winner matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →