Australia Tour of South Africa ODIs: South Africa vs Australia
Why it moved: −3 points at 22:53 UTC, after The Guardian Sport: ‘Outplayed’: Mitch Marsh rues Australia’s ODI capitulation to South Africa — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 48% |
| 25 Sept, 00:13 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 23:52 UTC | 47% |
| 24 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 48% |
| 24 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 47% |
| 23 Sept, 22:53 UTC | 50% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to South Africa if they win the scheduled ODI on September 27, 2026, and to Australia if they win. Ties without a Super Over or canceled matches result in a 50-50 split. Readers often mistake the linked story about the first ODI as relevant, but this market applies only to the specific fixture scheduled for September 27.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- South Africa 48%
- Australia 53%
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