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Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

Implied probability 98%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$171k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
0%50%100%98%18 Sept, 08:09 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now98%
24 Sept, 19:56 UTC98%
24 Sept, 19:10 UTC98%
24 Sept, 17:48 UTC97%
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24 Sept, 16:54 UTC96%
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21 Sept, 15:55 UTC92%
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21 Sept, 14:55 UTC87%
21 Sept, 02:40 UTC83%
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20 Sept, 23:08 UTC82%
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20 Sept, 16:44 UTC83%
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20 Sept, 14:49 UTC83%
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19 Sept, 13:42 UTC78%
19 Sept, 12:46 UTC78%
19 Sept, 12:21 UTC67%
19 Sept, 08:20 UTC73%
18 Sept, 08:09 UTC25%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Paramount acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if this acquisition does not occur within that specific timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked news story about antitrust talks for the actual closing of the deal.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 98%
  • No 2%

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