Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Implied probability 0%−1
24-hour volume$16k
Total volume$1.6M
Liquidity$164k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 27 Oct, 12:08 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Oct, 06:01 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Oct, 05:40 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Oct, 05:27 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Oct, 03:59 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Oct, 03:12 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Oct, 02:51 UTC | 0% |
| 27 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 1% |
| 27 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Oct, 23:52 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 19:51 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 16:17 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 15:54 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 15:09 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 13:47 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Oct, 10:42 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 10:14 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 09:17 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Oct, 08:02 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Oct, 07:44 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Oct, 06:06 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Oct, 05:53 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Oct, 05:04 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Oct, 03:57 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Oct, 01:58 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 01:12 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 22:20 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 21:43 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 19:39 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 18:04 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 17:17 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 16:35 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 22:11 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 12:21 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 10:54 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 06:16 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if María Corina Machado officially holds the position of head of state in Venezuela on December 31, 2026, at 12 PM ET. It resolves to "No" if she does not hold that specific role at that exact time. Readers often mistake being named a successor or having an appointment effective after the deadline as holding the office.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
Trade this market on Polymarket →