Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
The market favoured No at 70% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$1
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$14k
Resolved3 Oct 2026
Why it moved: −30 points at 15:56 UTC, after SkySports: 'I was driving like my grandma' - Antonelli admits to lack of confidence — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 15:56 UTC | 0% |
| 25 Sept, 15:56 UTC | 31% |
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →