Will Trump pardon Himself before 2027?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 20:19 UTC | 6% |
| 3 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 6% |
| 2 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 4% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump issues a pardon, commutation, or reprieve between November 17, 2025, and December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if this action does not occur within that specific timeframe. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it applies to the date of the pardon rather than the end of the specified window.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%
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