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Jensen Huang divorce by March 31, 2027?

Implied probability 28%+9
24-hour volume$46k
Total volume$51k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves1 Apr 2027

Why it moved: +9 points at 16:25 UTC, after TechCrunch: Is Jensen Huang’s bad behavior more commonplace than it seems? — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Jensen Huang divorce by March 31, 2027?
0%50%100%28%10 Nov, 06:43 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now28%
12 Nov, 15:27 UTC29%
12 Nov, 14:58 UTC27%
12 Nov, 14:11 UTC25%
12 Nov, 13:30 UTC25%
12 Nov, 12:48 UTC25%
12 Nov, 12:27 UTC25%
12 Nov, 11:18 UTC24%
12 Nov, 10:13 UTC27%
12 Nov, 09:43 UTC28%
12 Nov, 09:23 UTC29%
12 Nov, 08:56 UTC32%
12 Nov, 08:16 UTC34%
12 Nov, 07:56 UTC33%
12 Nov, 07:22 UTC33%
12 Nov, 06:42 UTC32%
12 Nov, 06:22 UTC31%
12 Nov, 05:48 UTC28%
12 Nov, 04:55 UTC27%
12 Nov, 04:28 UTC27%
12 Nov, 03:21 UTC31%
12 Nov, 02:53 UTC32%
12 Nov, 01:32 UTC34%
12 Nov, 01:06 UTC33%
12 Nov, 00:46 UTC28%
12 Nov, 00:19 UTC27%
11 Nov, 23:52 UTC35%
11 Nov, 23:18 UTC38%
11 Nov, 22:59 UTC31%
11 Nov, 22:12 UTC24%
11 Nov, 21:52 UTC22%
11 Nov, 21:24 UTC23%
11 Nov, 20:49 UTC23%
11 Nov, 20:29 UTC25%
11 Nov, 19:54 UTC24%
11 Nov, 18:25 UTC24%
11 Nov, 17:50 UTC24%
11 Nov, 17:29 UTC26%
11 Nov, 16:25 UTC26%
11 Nov, 07:57 UTC17%
10 Nov, 15:13 UTC19%
10 Nov, 12:33 UTC18%
10 Nov, 11:05 UTC18%
10 Nov, 09:12 UTC18%
10 Nov, 08:45 UTC19%
10 Nov, 08:17 UTC19%
10 Nov, 06:43 UTC20%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to "Yes" if Jensen or Lori Huang file for divorce or announce a definitive intention to do so by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. An announcement from either party or their authorized representatives counts as sufficient proof, even if the divorce never actually happens.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 28%
  • No 72%

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