England Lions Tour of West Indies Unofficial ODIs: West Indies A vs England Lions
The market favoured England Lions at 72% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Why it moved: +8 points at 16:25 UTC, after BBC Sport: England cancel Windies Test in favour of home Ashes warm-ups — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 12 Nov, 01:32 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Nov, 20:56 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Nov, 20:29 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Nov, 19:54 UTC | 6% |
| 11 Nov, 19:26 UTC | 12% |
| 11 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 17% |
| 11 Nov, 18:25 UTC | 22% |
| 11 Nov, 17:57 UTC | 22% |
| 11 Nov, 17:22 UTC | 23% |
| 11 Nov, 16:46 UTC | 27% |
| 11 Nov, 16:25 UTC | 21% |
| 11 Nov, 15:56 UTC | 13% |
| 11 Nov, 15:28 UTC | 12% |
| 11 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 22% |
| 10 Nov, 14:59 UTC | 36% |
What counts
The market resolves to West Indies A if they win the match and to England Lions if they win. If the match is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or ends without a winner, the result splits evenly between both outcomes. Readers often mistake the linked news story about the Test series cancellation as the deciding factor, but only the actual outcome of this specific ODI match matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- West Indies A 0%
- England Lions 100%
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