Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$29k
Liquidity$0
Resolved1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 11 Nov, 01:12 UTC | 100% |
| 10 Nov, 01:12 UTC | 98% |
What counts
For the outcome "Yes," Will Venable must be officially named the 2026 American League Manager of the Year by MLB. For the outcome "No," any other manager wins, or no winner is declared within the specified timeframe. Readers often mistakenly believe that credible reporting alone determines the result; however, the official announcement from Major League Baseball is the primary source of truth.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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