Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year?
Why it moved: −12 points at 20:24 UTC, after Rolling Stone: Wait, What the Hell Is Going on With Dolly Parton’s Estate? — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 40% |
| 25 Sept, 10:50 UTC | 40% |
| 25 Sept, 09:17 UTC | 40% |
| 25 Sept, 08:13 UTC | 40% |
| 25 Sept, 06:36 UTC | 41% |
| 25 Sept, 05:43 UTC | 41% |
| 25 Sept, 02:40 UTC | 41% |
| 25 Sept, 01:33 UTC | 41% |
| 25 Sept, 00:59 UTC | 41% |
| 24 Sept, 23:52 UTC | 41% |
| 24 Sept, 22:31 UTC | 41% |
| 24 Sept, 21:25 UTC | 42% |
| 24 Sept, 20:31 UTC | 42% |
| 24 Sept, 20:24 UTC | 42% |
| 23 Sept, 20:03 UTC | 54% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves based on who ranks first in Google’s official 2026 Year in Search United States "Passings" list. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Dolly Parton’s estate for the resolution criteria, but the outcome depends solely on Google's annual ranking data. The result is determined by the published list, not by search volume spikes or unrelated events.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 40%
- No 60%
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