Will Lionel Messi win 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 94% |
| 12 Oct, 21:40 UTC | 94% |
| 12 Oct, 20:29 UTC | 94% |
| 12 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 95% |
| 12 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 94% |
| 12 Oct, 17:05 UTC | 95% |
| 12 Oct, 16:58 UTC | 95% |
| 12 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 95% |
| 12 Oct, 15:54 UTC | 94% |
| 12 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 95% |
| 12 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 95% |
| 12 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 95% |
| 12 Oct, 11:13 UTC | 96% |
| 11 Oct, 11:13 UTC | 96% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Lionel Messi is named the 2026 MLS Most Valuable Player according to official Major League Soccer results. It resolves to "No" if any other player wins the award or if the season ends without a declared winner after December 31, 2026. Readers often mistake the linked news story about future stars for the actual MVP announcement.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 94%
- No 7%
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