FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?
Implied probability 4%
24-hour volume$912
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$12k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 11:34 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 11:28 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 10:55 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 10:29 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 09:41 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 4% |
| 3 Oct, 05:03 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 19:30 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 17:59 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 16:37 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 15:44 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 15:16 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 14:42 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 14:28 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 12:30 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 12:08 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 09:17 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 08:57 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 07:55 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 06:24 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 02:43 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 02:05 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 00:49 UTC | 5% |
| 2 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 23:32 UTC | 5% |
| 1 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 8% |
| 1 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 8% |
| 1 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 8% |
| 1 Oct, 21:16 UTC | 8% |
| 1 Oct, 20:42 UTC | 8% |
| 1 Oct, 20:29 UTC | 8% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the co-pilot physically enters Israeli territory by October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The outcome is No if he does not enter Israel within that timeframe or if the event occurs outside the specified period. Readers often mistake official announcements of intent for actual transfer, but only physical entry into Israel counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 4%
- No 96%
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