Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
The market favoured Yes at 56% a day out, but No won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$183k
Total volume$599k
Liquidity$192k
Resolved13 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 13 Sept, 01:53 UTC | 0% |
| 12 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 7% |
| 12 Sept, 22:26 UTC | 41% |
| 12 Sept, 21:58 UTC | 38% |
| 12 Sept, 21:20 UTC | 33% |
| 12 Sept, 20:59 UTC | 41% |
| 12 Sept, 20:23 UTC | 59% |
| 12 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 59% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 57% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 56% |
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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