Will Lionel Messi win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$8k
Total volume$48k
Liquidity$67k
Resolves24 Oct 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 9 Nov, 19:00 UTC | 1% |
| 9 Nov, 12:10 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Nov, 21:22 UTC | 0% |
| 7 Nov, 20:07 UTC | 0% |
| 7 Nov, 18:45 UTC | 0% |
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What counts
For the 'Yes' outcome, Lionel Messi must win the Argentine presidential election scheduled for October 24, 2027. The 'No' outcome applies if he does not win. Readers often mistake the linked FIFA story as relevant; only the official election results from Argentine government sources determine the winner.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%
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