Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?
The market favoured No at 79% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$780k
Total volume$768k
Liquidity$695k
Resolved8 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 8 Nov, 22:41 UTC | 0% |
| 8 Nov, 21:16 UTC | 32% |
| 8 Nov, 19:09 UTC | 22% |
| 8 Nov, 18:36 UTC | 21% |
| 8 Nov, 08:59 UTC | 22% |
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and No otherwise. The official final result from the governing body determines the outcome, with backup data sources used only if that information is not published within two hours. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution or assume post-match score revisions will change the result.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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