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Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?

Implied probability 3%−11
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Jan 2027

Why it moved: −11 points at 14:21 UTC, after Quartz: Starbucks bestritt, Chipotle zu kaufen, was den Aktienkurs der Burrito-Kette sinken ließ. — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?
0%50%100%3%11 Oct, 14:04 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now3%
12 Oct, 21:47 UTC3%
12 Oct, 20:50 UTC3%
12 Oct, 20:16 UTC4%
12 Oct, 19:56 UTC4%
12 Oct, 19:21 UTC4%
12 Oct, 18:40 UTC4%
12 Oct, 18:16 UTC4%
12 Oct, 17:49 UTC4%
12 Oct, 17:05 UTC4%
12 Oct, 16:32 UTC4%
12 Oct, 16:19 UTC4%
12 Oct, 15:54 UTC4%
12 Oct, 15:27 UTC4%
12 Oct, 14:42 UTC4%
12 Oct, 14:21 UTC3%
11 Oct, 14:04 UTC14%

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Starbucks or Chipotle officially announces an acquisition or merger that results in a controlling interest by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A simple bid or offer does not count; the announcement must indicate a settled agreement.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 3%
  • No 97%

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