Bears vs. Packers
The market favoured Bears at 53% a day out, but Packers won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$1.3M
Total volume$743
Liquidity$8k
Resolved11 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 11 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Oct, 19:43 UTC | 0% |
| 11 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Oct, 18:17 UTC | 24% |
| 11 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 19% |
| 8 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 53% |
| 8 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 54% |
| 7 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 56% |
What counts
The Bears outcome wins if Chicago defeats Green Bay in regulation or overtime. The Packers outcome wins if Green Bay defeats Chicago in regulation or overtime. Readers often mistake the scheduled kickoff time for the deadline, but the result depends on who wins the game, not when it starts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Bears 0%
- Packers 100%
View this market on Polymarket →