Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?
Implied probability 0%−1
24-hour volume$149k
Total volume$293k
Liquidity$171k
Resolves25 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 25 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 0% |
| 25 Oct, 20:19 UTC | 0% |
| 25 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 19:25 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 18:50 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 18:25 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 16:56 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 16:28 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 14:41 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 13:56 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 13:25 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 12:03 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 11:42 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 11:14 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Oct, 10:06 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 23:34 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 23:05 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 17:15 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 16:54 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 13:07 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 12:40 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 10:51 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 10:03 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 09:36 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 09:29 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 07:17 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 03:30 UTC | 1% |
| 24 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 21:34 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 14:51 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 10:17 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 08:14 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 06:39 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 04:38 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 04:10 UTC | 1% |
| 23 Oct, 00:02 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 23:27 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 22:46 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 21:23 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 08:46 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 06:46 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 23:21 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 20:35 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 1% |
| 21 Oct, 19:54 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 19:02 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 14:47 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 13:04 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 12:56 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 10:32 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 10:03 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 08:51 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 08:24 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 07:36 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 2% |
| 21 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 06:09 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 04:26 UTC | 3% |
| 21 Oct, 00:29 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 23:07 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 22:52 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 4% |
| 20 Oct, 21:20 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 3% |
| 20 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 19:41 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 18:59 UTC | 5% |
| 20 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 7% |
| 20 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 5% |
| 19 Oct, 16:48 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The Yes outcome requires Andrey Gyurov to finish first in the first round with a margin of at least 30 percentage points over the second-place candidate, based on valid votes. The No outcome applies if his lead is less than 30% or if he does not win the first round.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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