Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$698
Total volume$17k
Liquidity$20k
Resolves1 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 11 Nov, 22:52 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Nov, 18:38 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Nov, 18:18 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Nov, 03:22 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Nov, 00:30 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Nov, 23:56 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Nov, 22:47 UTC | 1% |
| 10 Nov, 11:42 UTC | 0% |
| 10 Nov, 08:45 UTC | 0% |
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What counts
The "Yes" outcome occurs if Anthropic does not complete its IPO by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The "No" outcome happens if the company prices its IPO before that deadline, regardless of when the final prospectus is published. Readers often mistakenly focus on trading prices after listing or preliminary price ranges instead of the final offering price stated in the SEC-filed prospectus.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%
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