Cavaliers vs. Knicks
The market favoured Knicks at 62% a day out, but Cavaliers won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$2.1M
Total volume$2.0M
Liquidity$334k
Resolved12 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 12 Nov, 03:21 UTC | 100% |
| 11 Nov, 23:31 UTC | 34% |
| 11 Nov, 22:31 UTC | 35% |
| 11 Nov, 20:56 UTC | 37% |
| 11 Nov, 20:01 UTC | 38% |
| 11 Nov, 18:52 UTC | 39% |
| 11 Nov, 18:18 UTC | 39% |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | 37% |
| 11 Nov, 07:43 UTC | 38% |
| 11 Nov, 06:09 UTC | 39% |
| 11 Nov, 04:09 UTC | 40% |
| 10 Nov, 04:08 UTC | 38% |
What counts
The Cavaliers outcome resolves if they win the game, and the Knicks outcome resolves if they win. The result depends on the final score after any overtime periods. Readers often miss that the market resolves 50-50 if the game does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Cavaliers 100%
- Knicks 0%
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