Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?
Implied probability 5%−3
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$30k
Resolves1 Apr 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 15:53 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 15:29 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 14:45 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 13:44 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 13:28 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 12:59 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 11:20 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 10:57 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 10:29 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 09:58 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 09:23 UTC | 5% |
| 13 Sept, 08:59 UTC | 6% |
| 13 Sept, 05:26 UTC | 7% |
| 13 Sept, 04:34 UTC | 7% |
| 13 Sept, 03:06 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Sept, 01:15 UTC | 8% |
| 13 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 9% |
| 13 Sept, 00:20 UTC | 7% |
| 12 Sept, 22:19 UTC | 8% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 7% |
| 11 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 5% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%
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