France leading at halftime?
Why it moved: +4 points at 16:11 UTC, after SI Feed: How to Watch Turkiye vs. France on TV, Live Stream — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 56% |
| 25 Sept, 18:00 UTC | 56% |
| 25 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 57% |
| 25 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 56% |
| 25 Sept, 16:11 UTC | 56% |
| 24 Sept, 16:11 UTC | 52% |
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What counts
The "Yes" outcome occurs if France leads at any point during the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time in the scheduled match against Turkey. The "No" outcome applies if France does not lead within that specific timeframe, including if the score is tied or if Turkey is ahead.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 56%
- No 44%
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