NewsMarkets

Markets

Will Jay Z perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?

Implied probability 95%+18
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$19k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves1 Apr 2027

Why it moved: +14 points at 01:53 UTC, after Rolling Stone: Jay-Z to Headline Super Bowl LXI Halftime Show — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Will Jay Z perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?
0%50%100%95%26 Oct, 01:53 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now95%
27 Oct, 04:33 UTC95%
27 Oct, 04:26 UTC94%
27 Oct, 03:52 UTC94%
27 Oct, 02:42 UTC95%
27 Oct, 02:23 UTC96%
27 Oct, 01:53 UTC92%
26 Oct, 01:53 UTC77%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Does the market have this right?

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

What counts

Jay Z must perform live and in person during the Super Bowl LXI halftime show for the outcome to be Yes. The market resolves to No if he does not perform, if the event is cancelled, or if it is delayed beyond March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake a casual appearance or an announcement for a qualifying performance.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 95%
  • No 5%

Trade this market on Polymarket →

Embed this market

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.

Stories on this market