Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$175k
Total volume$2.2M
Liquidity$243k
Resolves28 Oct 2026
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What counts
The Yes outcome requires Itamar Ben Gvir to be formally sworn in as Prime Minister after an election. The No outcome applies if someone else takes that specific role or if no one is sworn in by the deadline. Readers often mistake any interim appointment for a final resolution, but only a sworn-in permanent Prime Minister counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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