Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
The market favoured Yes at 82% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$8k
Liquidity$15k
Resolved11 Oct 2026
Why it moved: +18 points at 09:34 UTC, after South China Morning Post: Formula 1 to investigate software bug in Malaysia race; Verstappen wants ‘lesson learned’ — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 5 Oct, 09:34 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Oct, 09:34 UTC | 82% |
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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