Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East?
Why it moved: +4 points at 04:15 UTC, after SI Feed: Biggest Takeaways From Bills Resilient Week 5 Win Over Rams — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 64% |
| 13 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 64% |
| 13 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 65% |
| 13 Oct, 20:06 UTC | 66% |
| 13 Oct, 19:38 UTC | 66% |
| 13 Oct, 07:08 UTC | 65% |
| 13 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 66% |
| 13 Oct, 05:15 UTC | 65% |
| 13 Oct, 04:41 UTC | 65% |
| 13 Oct, 04:15 UTC | 66% |
| 13 Oct, 03:54 UTC | 62% |
| 13 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 61% |
| 13 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 60% |
| 13 Oct, 02:20 UTC | 60% |
| 13 Oct, 01:35 UTC | 60% |
| 12 Oct, 20:42 UTC | 60% |
| 12 Oct, 20:09 UTC | 59% |
| 12 Oct, 19:07 UTC | 60% |
| 12 Oct, 17:12 UTC | 59% |
| 12 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 59% |
| 12 Oct, 15:47 UTC | 59% |
| 12 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 60% |
| 12 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 60% |
| 12 Oct, 12:18 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 11:52 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 07:16 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 06:39 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 06:15 UTC | 60% |
| 12 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 60% |
| 12 Oct, 01:31 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 01:00 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 00:47 UTC | 61% |
| 12 Oct, 00:15 UTC | 61% |
| 11 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 61% |
| 11 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 63% |
| 11 Oct, 22:27 UTC | 64% |
| 11 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 64% |
| 11 Oct, 21:06 UTC | 65% |
| 11 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 64% |
| 11 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 64% |
| 11 Oct, 17:48 UTC | 68% |
| 11 Oct, 14:29 UTC | 71% |
| 11 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 71% |
| 10 Oct, 10:44 UTC | 71% |
| 10 Oct, 05:13 UTC | 72% |
| 9 Oct, 23:38 UTC | 71% |
| 9 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 70% |
| 9 Oct, 15:21 UTC | 70% |
| 9 Oct, 13:28 UTC | 71% |
| 9 Oct, 07:03 UTC | 71% |
| 9 Oct, 06:32 UTC | 71% |
| 9 Oct, 01:02 UTC | 70% |
| 9 Oct, 00:09 UTC | 71% |
| 8 Oct, 17:01 UTC | 70% |
| 8 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 70% |
| 8 Oct, 12:09 UTC | 70% |
| 8 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 70% |
| 8 Oct, 00:06 UTC | 70% |
| 7 Oct, 23:46 UTC | 69% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves based on which team is officially declared the AFC East division champion for the 2026 NFL regular season. If multiple teams tie for first place, the official NFL tiebreak procedure determines the winner. Readers often mistakenly focus on playoff performance or Super Bowl results instead of the regular-season division standings.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 64%
- No 36%
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