Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 16% |
| 5 Nov, 22:47 UTC | 18% |
| 5 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 25% |
| 5 Nov, 20:42 UTC | 25% |
| 5 Nov, 20:20 UTC | 25% |
| 5 Nov, 19:50 UTC | 27% |
| 5 Nov, 19:29 UTC | 23% |
| 5 Nov, 18:50 UTC | 27% |
| 5 Nov, 18:28 UTC | 35% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 32% |
| 5 Nov, 17:28 UTC | 35% |
| 4 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 13% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Marco Rubio leaves the Trump Administration or ceases to be a member by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of his resignation or removal before this deadline also triggers an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of when it takes effect. The primary source for resolution is official information from the Trump Administration, with credible consensus as a backup.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 16%
- No 85%
Trade this market on Polymarket →