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Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?

Implied probability 3%
24-hour volume$223
Total volume$674k
Liquidity$67k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?
0%50%100%3%26 Sept, 01:04 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now3%
2 Oct, 14:14 UTC3%
1 Oct, 17:22 UTC3%
1 Oct, 16:44 UTC3%
1 Oct, 16:21 UTC3%
1 Oct, 15:27 UTC3%
1 Oct, 14:45 UTC3%
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1 Oct, 09:59 UTC3%
1 Oct, 06:55 UTC3%
1 Oct, 04:44 UTC4%
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1 Oct, 03:19 UTC4%
1 Oct, 02:43 UTC4%
1 Oct, 02:14 UTC4%
1 Oct, 01:34 UTC4%
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1 Oct, 00:44 UTC4%
30 Sept, 20:46 UTC4%
30 Sept, 18:39 UTC4%
30 Sept, 16:59 UTC4%
30 Sept, 15:23 UTC5%
30 Sept, 05:45 UTC5%
30 Sept, 05:17 UTC5%
30 Sept, 04:20 UTC5%
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30 Sept, 01:44 UTC5%
30 Sept, 00:32 UTC5%
29 Sept, 21:17 UTC5%
29 Sept, 20:49 UTC4%
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29 Sept, 19:54 UTC5%
29 Sept, 18:47 UTC4%
29 Sept, 16:54 UTC5%
29 Sept, 15:59 UTC5%
29 Sept, 15:00 UTC5%
29 Sept, 14:44 UTC5%
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29 Sept, 13:51 UTC5%
29 Sept, 13:27 UTC5%
29 Sept, 12:48 UTC5%
29 Sept, 12:26 UTC6%
29 Sept, 11:56 UTC6%
29 Sept, 11:21 UTC6%
29 Sept, 10:59 UTC6%
29 Sept, 10:15 UTC6%
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29 Sept, 05:53 UTC6%
28 Sept, 19:18 UTC6%
28 Sept, 13:20 UTC6%
28 Sept, 12:11 UTC6%
28 Sept, 09:57 UTC7%
28 Sept, 09:19 UTC7%
28 Sept, 08:46 UTC6%
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28 Sept, 01:19 UTC6%
28 Sept, 00:54 UTC6%
27 Sept, 22:24 UTC6%
27 Sept, 21:50 UTC5%
27 Sept, 21:22 UTC5%
27 Sept, 20:22 UTC5%
27 Sept, 19:59 UTC5%
27 Sept, 19:20 UTC5%
27 Sept, 18:44 UTC5%
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27 Sept, 17:52 UTC5%
27 Sept, 17:13 UTC5%
27 Sept, 15:17 UTC5%
27 Sept, 14:24 UTC5%
27 Sept, 13:55 UTC5%
27 Sept, 12:47 UTC5%
27 Sept, 12:14 UTC5%
27 Sept, 08:08 UTC5%
26 Sept, 12:13 UTC5%
26 Sept, 11:38 UTC5%
26 Sept, 03:38 UTC5%
26 Sept, 01:04 UTC5%

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Lindsay Clancy receives a murder conviction in the initial trial or any retrial that starts before 11:59 PM ET. The outcome is No if she is acquitted, charges are dropped, or no judgment is rendered by the deadline. Readers often mistake the final appellate decision for the resolution source, but only the initial trial judgment counts.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 3%
  • No 97%

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