England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England
The market favoured England at 70% a day out, but Sri Lanka won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$194k
Total volume$981
Liquidity$12k
Resolved29 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 22 Oct, 16:19 UTC | 85% |
| 22 Oct, 15:57 UTC | 50% |
| 22 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 12% |
| 22 Oct, 14:54 UTC | 7% |
| 22 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 4% |
| 22 Oct, 13:56 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 13:27 UTC | 1% |
| 22 Oct, 12:43 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 12:21 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 5% |
| 22 Oct, 10:53 UTC | 11% |
| 22 Oct, 10:09 UTC | 18% |
| 22 Oct, 09:54 UTC | 26% |
| 22 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 28% |
| 22 Oct, 08:53 UTC | 22% |
| 22 Oct, 08:29 UTC | 22% |
| 21 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 28% |
What counts
The market resolves to Sri Lanka if they win the scheduled ODI match, and to England if they win. The outcome depends on the official winner declared by the governing body or event organizers after the match concludes. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution, which is two hours after the event ends, rather than the moment the final ball is bowled.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Sri Lanka 100%
- England 0%
View this market on Polymarket →